- Issue
Geophysical Research Letters: Volume 52, Issue 9
16 May 2025
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Issue Information
Research Letter
Climate
Absence of Elevation-Dependent Warming in Antarctica Inferred From Blue Ice Paleoclimate Records
- First Published: 11 May 2025
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Analyses of surface Antarctic blue ice offer a reconstruction of temperature changes at different elevations during the last deglaciation
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This study presents the first reconstruction of lapse rate evolution during the last deglaciation beyond the 40°N–40°S latitudinal band
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No elevation-dependent warming (i.e., lapse rates remain constant) is registered in Antarctica during the last deglaciation
Robust Projections of Changing Precipitation Evenness in a Warming Climate
- First Published: 30 April 2025
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Climate models project spatially less even daily precipitation over land and ocean in both tropics and extratropics under global warming
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The distribution of daily precipitation over the year becomes less even over many land regions under global warming
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GCM precipitation evenness trends can be interpreted with a scaling model linking mean precipitation, event intensity and dry day fraction
Atmospheric Science
Linking European Temperature Variations to Atmospheric Circulation With a Neural Network: A Pilot Study in a Climate Model
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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A convolutional neural network (UNET) is set and trained to predict temperature anomalies
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This pilot study is carried out in an idealized framework using only data from the large MIROC6 ensemble
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UNET exhibits excellent skills, with correlations higher than 0.9 over Europe, higher than analogs
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
A First Look at River Discharge Estimation From SWOT Satellite Observations
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission offers simultaneous and synoptic estimates of river discharge and other hydrological variables globally
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Results show that SWOT can track discharge dynamics without gauge information, with correct magnitude in some cases but with bias in others
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SWOT has the potential to provide valuable insights into global river discharge estimation, with implications for hydrologic science
Oceans
Unlocking the Style and Timing of Submarine Landslides: Insights From the Tuaheni North Slide, Hikurangi Margin
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Tuaheni North is a large submarine landslide that transported approximately 11.2 km3 of debris
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Two distinct mass transport units that are linked to separate source areas indicate at least two major slope failures
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Based on the gas hydrate response to post-slide sediment cooling, the slope failures are dated to ∼37,000- and 23,000-year BP
Solid Earth
Upper Mantle Earthquakes Along the Edge of the Wyoming Craton
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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We document the occurrence of nine small earthquakes in the upper mantle beneath Wyoming and Utah between 1979 and 2023
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The earthquakes occurred along the western edge of the Wyoming Craton at relatively high temperatures (>700°C)
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Brittle and ductile (thermal runaway) source processes are likely facilitated by relatively high strain rates from mantle convection
Space Sciences
In Situ Observations of the Influence of Nonlinear EMIC Waves on Relativistic Electrons in the Outer Radiation Belt
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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Nonlinear EMIC waves observed in the dayside uniform zone, caused by solar wind compression, meet conditions for the nonlinear wave growth
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The significant flux drop-out of electrons within energies of 0.6–4 MeV was associated with the intense EMIC rising-tone emissions
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Nonlinear EMIC emissions cause a rapid loss of MeV electrons by nonlinear effect and extend scattering to sub-MeV by nonresonant effect
Solid Earth
Life in a Benthic Mirror-World: Evidence for Deep-Living Magnetotactic Bacteria in Hydrothermally Bottom-Up Oxygenated Pacific Ridge Flank Sediments
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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Fresh magnetosome chains of magnetotactic bacteria were detected in deep oxygen-gradient zone near (<15 m) the sediment/crust interface
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Selective magnetic parameters reveal microbial activity in past oxic/suboxic transition zones of bottom-up oxygenated sediments
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Oxygen-rich low-temperature hydrothermal fluids in young oceanic crust can support microaerophilic life in the overlying bottom sediment
Climate
Anomalously Warm European Summers Predicted More Accurately by Considering Sub-Decadal North Atlantic Ocean Heat Accumulation
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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We link the occurrence of anomalously warm European summers to sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation within a decadal prediction system
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Our novel ensemble selection technique notably increases the prediction skill of anomalously warm European summers several years in advance
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We present a powerful tool that can be applied to operational climate predictions on both interannual and sub-decadal timescales
Topographic Effect Creates Non-climatic Variations in Ice-Core Based Temperature Records of the Last Millennium in Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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Variations in local topography are linked with anomalies in the isotopic composition of surface snow and in accumulation rates
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Windward slopes exhibit depleted isotopic values and increased accumulation, while leeward slopes show the opposite pattern
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This induces millennial scale non-climatic variations in ice-cores explaining differing isotopic histories in the nearby cores B31 and B32
Solid Earth
Estimating Focal Mechanism of Small Earthquakes Using S/P Amplitude Ratios of Distributed Acoustic Sensing Records
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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We estimated focal mechanisms using the S/P amplitude ratio from Distributed Acoustic Sensing records
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The estimated focal mechanisms were consistent with the initial polarity distribution from conventional seismograms
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This method can estimate the mechanism for a single event without correcting the cable geometry
Planets
Impact of Thermal Weathering on Mercury's Reflectance
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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The highest values of spectral curvature between 300 and 600 nm map the youngest geological features of Mercury
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The spectral curvature on Mercury is well preserved near the cold poles and affected by thermal weathering near the hot poles
Climate
Climate-Dependency of Impact of Increased Carbon Dioxide on African Monsoon Rainfall: Insights From Model Simulations
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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The impact of rising on African summer monsoon rainfall is climate dependent
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Under interglacial climate background, a rise in can enhance northern Africa precipitation by increasing atmospheric moisture content
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In glacial times, a rise in facilitates a dryness over most northern Africa, primarily due to a weakened tropical circulation
Space Sciences
Predicting CO Cameron-Band Auroral Emission at Venus Using VEx Electron Observations
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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We predict the possible CO Cameron-band emission brightness at Venus using VEx electron observations by applying an empirical relationship
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To reproduce PVO observations, electron acceleration is not needed, but magnetic topology limits the occurrence of aurorae at Venus
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Auroral imaging at Venus can serve as remote sensing of the magnetic state of the Venus nightside ionosphere and magnetosphere
Oceans
What Controls the Evolution of Pacific Coastal Niño Events in the CESM Large Ensemble?
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Simulated Pacific Coastal Niños mainly occur in May and June, but strongest precipitation is associated with events earlier in the year
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In CESM the evolution of Coastal Niños is governed by equatorial waves and background conditions in the equatorial and subtropical Pacific
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Occurrence of Coastal Niños increases the chance for the development of basin-wide El Niño events arising from cold or neutral states
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
SWOT Water Surface Elevation in Herbaceous Wetlands of Florida's Everglades
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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We show the first water surface elevation results in wetlands from the SWOT satellite mission
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SWOT's water surface elevations are highly accurate in large herbaceous wetlands, achieving a 68th percentile error of 6.4 cm
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SWOT can accurately track seasonal water level variations of less than 20 cm in large graminoid wetlands
Planets
Predictions of Auroral Electron Precipitation and Joule Heating at Uranus
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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Auroral acceleration potentials at Uranus are predicted to be Earth-like, that is, a few kilovolts
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Joule heating associated with auroral precipitation at Uranus is predicted to be up to ∼1 mW/m2
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Peak differential energy fluxes of precipitating electrons at Uranus are predicted to be ∼5 × 107 cm−2 s−1 sr−1 eV/eV
The Evolution of Titan's Cold South Polar Cloud
- First Published: 11 May 2025
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Titan's high-altitude south polar cloud descended from an altitude of over 300 km in early southern fall to about 200 km by late fall
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The south polar cloud expanded horizontally from about 80°S in early southern fall to about 64.5°S by late fall
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Existing measurements and models significantly overestimate polar stratospheric temperatures throughout southern fall
Atmospheric Science
Spatial Structure Functions of Horizontal Winds in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Using Taylor's Hypothesis Over MAARSY (69.30°N, 16.04°E)
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Taylor's Hypothesis is applied to calculate spatial second-order structure functions of horizontal winds in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere region
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The 2D turbulence prediction of a combined energy and enstrophy subrange is evaluated using fits on
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Height profiles of spectral energy flux proxies exhibit minima at fixed altitudes around 11 km. Enstrophy flux proxies decrease with height
Planets
Properties of New Flows Indicate that Martian Gullies Form via CO2 Frost-Fluidization Processes
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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CO2 frost-fluidized flows erode on slopes lower than the typical angle of repose for geologic materials
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The erosional and depositional slopes of CO2 frost-fluidized flows are consistent with forming complete gully landforms
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CO2 frost-fluidized flows could account for the complete formation history of gullies
Space Sciences
Ion-Acoustic Waves and the Proton-Alpha Streaming Instability at Collisionless Shocks
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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The proton-alpha streaming instability caused by the cross-shock potential can excite ion-acoustic waves
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Theory and a simulation of the instability yield results consistent with observations
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The instability results in ion heating and reduces the relative drift between ion species
Oceans
The Effect of Water Vapor and Solar Zenith Angle on Oceanic Diurnal Warming
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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Reliable modeling of oceanic diurnal warming is both desirable and challenging to achieve consistently on the global scale
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Accounting for atmospheric and in-water effects due to varying water vapor and solar zenith angle produces substantial changes in warming
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The new insolation scheme shows improvement cf. a similarly derived set of static coefficients when compared to satellite observations
Climate
Understanding MJO Teleconnections to the Southern Hemisphere Extratropics During El Niño, La Niña, and Neutral Years
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) teleconnections are significantly modulated by El Niño during early MJO phases and by La Niña during late MJO phases during austral summer
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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the MJO have the weakest non-linear interactions in austral summer
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ENSO's contributions to MJO teleconnections to the SH extratropics are asymmetric between El Niño and La Niña during austral summer
On Risk of Rain on Snow Over High-Latitude Coastal Areas in North America
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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The climatology of rain-on-snow (ROS) events is presented by normalizing ROS instances with the snowpack duration
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High-altitude mountainous watersheds and high-latitude coastal regions are at an elevated ROS risk in North America
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Trends in rainfall excess and snowmelt in south central Alaska, the Olympic Mountains, and the Sierra Nevada highlight rising ROS flood risk
Atmospheric Science
Developing a Lagrangian Frame Transformation on Satellite Data to Study Cloud Microphysical Transitions in Arctic Marine Cold Air Outbreaks
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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Converting an inherently Eularian satellite granule to a Lagrangian frame allows for in-depth analysis of cloud property transformations
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These clouds show decreasing cloud droplet number concentration and increasing cloud water path and droplet effective radius with time
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In some events studied, the cloud top glaciated as expected within 10 hr; in others, it failed to glaciate throughout the entire event
Solid Earth
Analysis of Stress in the Cohesive Zone, Dissipation and Fracture Energy During Shear Rupture Experiments
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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Stress change in cohesive zone can be computed from laboratory rupture experiments
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Stress in cohesive zone is complex for slow ruptures
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Rupture energy budget is consistent with dynamics, despite complexity in slip rate
Climate
ENSO and West Pacific Seasonality Driven by the South Asian Monsoon
- First Published: 02 May 2025
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We propose a new mechanism to explain why equatorial West Pacific SSTs peak once a year and why El Niño/Southern Oscillation is phase-locked to the seasonal cycle
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Warm air advection from the Asian Monsoon makes the West Pacific warmest in boreal fall despite incoming sunlight peaking twice a year
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The resulting seasonality of Pacific SSTs and the Walker Circulation leads to El Niño and La Niña events peaking in boreal winter
Space Sciences
Ion Kinetics in Thin Current Sheets at Lunar Distances
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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We investigate ion velocity distributions in thin current sheet in the magnetotail at lunar distances
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We observe hot (demagnetized, agyrotropic) and cold (beam-like) ion populations drifting duskward and dawnward, respectively
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The dawnward drift of cold ions, likely due to E B-drift, suppresses the ion current in the spacecraft rest frame
Cryosphere
Novel Record of Intermittent Grounding of the Venable Ice Shelf Since 1935 From Operation IceBridge Airborne-Gravity-Derived Bathymetry and Landsat Imagery
- First Published: 11 May 2025
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New aerogravity-based bathymetry model of the Venable Ice Shelf maps pathways for warm ocean water to access the grounding line
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Intermittent grounding of ice shelf on newly identified pinning point since ∼1935 revealed by analysis of Landsat imagery
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Combined analysis of Landsat imagery with bathymetry provides evidence of mid-20th century Bellingshausen Sea sector ice-shelf thinning
Oceans
Coherence of the AMOC Over the Subpolar North Atlantic on Interannual to Multiannual Time Scales
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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The density at which the subpolar overturning streamfunction is maximum is a key precursor of the mid-latitude overturning strength
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The density anomaly propagates from the subpolar gyre to 45°N by following the western boundary within a year
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The density anomaly over the subpolar gyre is atmospherically driven by changes in buoyancy and wind forcings
Climate
The Effect of Different Climate Sensitivity Priors on Projected Climate: A Probabilistic Analysis
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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Uncertainty in equilibrium climate sensitivity distributions propagates through to future temperature projections
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Prior distributions that exclude process and paleoclimate evidence result in the most uncertain future temperature projections
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Using simple climate models with a probabilistic framework can help test the effects of different parameter priors on climate projections
Oceans
Understanding Ocean Surface Response to Hurricane Idalia Using SWOT Altimetry in the Gulf of Mexico
- First Published: 06 May 2025
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Surface Water and Ocean Topography altimetry observed an increase in the number of Loop Current Frontal Eddies (LCFEs) of O(30–40 km) during Hurricane Idalia in the Gulf of Mexico
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Increased cold-core, cyclonic LCFEs enhance surface cooling that coincides with high chlorophyll-a and low salinity and may weaken hurricanes
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Data-assimilated HYCOM GOFS 3.1 Sea Surface Height analysis resolves substantial storm surge along the Florida coast
Climate
Effect of Regional Hadley Circulation-Subtropical Jet Interaction: The Amplification of Central-Pacific ENSO-Induced Teleconnection Pattern
- First Published: 30 April 2025
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Central Pacific (CP) El Niño induces the Pacific North America pattern more efficiently than Eastern Pacific El Niño during boreal autumn
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CP El Niño has stronger teleconnections due to enhanced convection and a westward-shifted regional Hadley circulation
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The westward-shifted Hadley circulation amplifies CP-induced Rossby wave trains by enhancing interactions with the subtropical jet
Atmospheric Science
Expanding Irrigation Intensifies the Humid Heat Stress in China: Evidence From Observations and Modeling
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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Application of province-specific soil moisture thresholds generates improved simulation of irrigation water and a lower model error by 30%
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Substantial cooling and moistening by irrigation are revealed by long-term weather records and optimized irrigation-climate simulations
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Despite alleviating extreme high-temperatures, agricultural irrigation intensifies the occurrence and population exposure of humid heat
Climate
Abrupt Changes in the Subpolar North Atlantic and Their Impact on the Climate of the British Isles
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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The North Atlantic shows the potential for abrupt changes in sea surface temperature linked to decadal variability in coupled processes
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The abrupt cooling and subsequent warming may have significant implications for impacts and adaption, particularly over the British Isles
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Using observational constraints, the model-derived likelihood of an abrupt change in North Atlantic temperatures approximately doubles
Atmospheric Science
The Double Dip: How Tropospheric Expansion Counteracts Increases in Extratropical Stratospheric Ozone Under Global Warming
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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Under increasing , models project extratropical stratospheric ozone to increase except around 10 km (lower dip) and 17 km (upper dip)
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The lower dip is due to expansion of the extratropical troposphere, whereas the upper dip is due to expansion of the tropical troposphere
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Seasonality of the stratospheric overturning circulation helps explain why the lower dip peaks in winter and the upper dip peaks in summer
Oceans
A Machine Learning-Based Model Infers the Sea Surface Velocity of Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT)
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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A machine learning-based model is proposed to infer sea surface velocity from Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) data
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This model can reduce the differences between SWOT velocity and total velocity, up to 60% in low-latitude regions
Atmospheric Science
The Major Role of Anthropogenic Emission Underestimation in PM2.5 Estimation Uncertainty Over the Tibetan Plateau
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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CMAQ with default inputs underestimates PM2.5 concentrations by 72.9% on the Tibetan Plateau (TP)
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Discrepancies in anthropogenic emission inventories lead to inaccurate PM2.5 predictions
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Modeling with adjusted emissions reveals a seasonal underestimation in local anthropogenic emissions on the TP by 82.6%–92.6%
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
Enhanced Climate Mitigation Feedbacks by Wetland Vegetation in Semi-Arid Compared to Humid Regions
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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Wetland vegetation provides stronger cooling effects in semi-arid regions compared to humid regions
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Spatial variation in cooling effects is driven by aerodynamic and surface resistance, as well as air temperature feedback
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Restoring wetlands in semi-arid zones offers greater cooling potential, highlighting their importance in climate mitigation strategies
Solid Earth
Seismic Fault Weakening Due To Thermal Pressurization of Comminution-Induced Hydrophilic Talc
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Comminuted talc exhibits slip-weakening behavior, contrary to the conventional view of frictional stability with slip-strengthening
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Hydrophobic talc turned hydrophilic after ball milling, reaching a water weight fraction of 0.13 with a reduced contact angle (64°–22°)
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Numerical simulation shows hydrophilic talc leads to strong thermal pressurization and near-zero shear stress during seismic slip
Climate
Asymmetric Responses in the Equatorial Pacific to Wind Forcing in OMIP2 Experiments: Role of Zonal Currents
- First Published: 04 May 2025
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The asymmetric temperature response to zonal wind-stress forcing in the western Pacific is commonly underestimated by ocean models
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A generally weaker zonal currents in ocean models than in the observations is a cause of the underestimated asymmetric temperature response
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The weaker zonal current response in ocean models is linked to a less steep zonal tilt of the thermocline
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
Decelerating Response of Western US Runoff to Shrinking Snowpacks
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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Sensitivities of runoff, snow, and evapotranspiration to warming decrease as temperatures warm for three major western US river basins
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Responses of runoff loss to warming are generally weaker in subbasins with less snow
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Decelerated snow cover shrinkage and earlier melt timing weaken snowmelt-radiation feedback, decreasing runoff sensitivity to warming
Atmospheric Science
Record-High Ozone in the Austral Mid-Latitude Tropopause Region Driven by Dynamical and Chemical Effects of the 2019 Sudden Stratospheric Warming
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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Downward and equatorward transport of ozone-rich polar air due to the 2019 sudden warming enhanced mid-latitude tropopause-region ozone
-
Pyrocumulonimbus during the 2019–2020 Australian fires injected ozone precursors near the tropopause, causing chemical ozone production
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Dynamical and chemical pathways both contributed to the record-high Southern Hemisphere mid-latitude ozone observed in January 2020
Climate
Weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Contributes to Opposite Responses of ENSO and the Atlantic Niño/Niña to Greenhouse Warming
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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At equatorial subsurface, the weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) results in a cooling in the western Pacific while a fast warming over the entire Atlantic
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At equatorial surface, the weakened AMOC induces Niño-like sea surface temperature warming as well as strengthened atmospheric stratification in both basins
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The weakened-AMOC-induced mean climate changes lead to opposite responses of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Atlantic Niño/Niña in the 21st century
Atmospheric Science
The Near-Surface Boundary Layer of Hurricane Laura (2020) at Landfall
- First Published: 30 April 2025
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Winds and turbulent kinetic energy are maximized in the hurricane eyewall, where boundary layer rolls are most prominent and vigorous
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Three-dimensional boundary layer rolls three-dimensional structures act to bring down stronger winds from aloft toward the surface
Oceans
Cooling and Sinking of the Atlantic Water in the Eurasian Basin Since 1990s
- First Published: 02 May 2025
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The core of Atlantic Water in the Eurasian Basin has been cooling and sinking over the past 30 years
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The decrease in volume and increase in salinity of the Fram Strait inflow dominate the Atlantic Water core changes
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The cooling of Atlantic Water and enhanced stratification reduce upward heat transport, contributing to slower sea ice melting
Climate
Joint Effects of Coastal and Inland Mountains on East Asian Climate During the Late Cretaceous
- First Published: 29 April 2025
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East Asia likely had a configuration of Coastal, Taihang, and Yanshan Mountains during the Late Cretaceous
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East Asian mountains led to local warming via clouds and drying through mean flow and eddies
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Coastal mountains dominated East Asian climate changes, while the Taihang and Yanshan Mountains amplified this effect
Oceans
The Topset-Foreset Rollover Does Not Coincide With Real Shoreline Positions in Clinoforms Over Substrate Deformation
- First Published: 03 May 2025
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The shorelines in stratigraphic record reflect incorrect positions when coeval gravity-driven deformation occurs on a viscous substrate
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Reconstructing real shoreline trajectories can be very difficult when a viscous substrate is present
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The geometry of shoreline trajectories is governed by both the evolution of the sedimentary system and syn-depositional deformation
Frequent Millennial-Scale Oceanic Redox Oscillations Recorded by Negative Pyrite Δ33S: Implications for Phanerozoic Extinctions
- First Published: 30 April 2025
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Negative pyrite Δ33S values, seen in Phanerozoic extinctions, are newly identified in a Cariaco Basin sediment core
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Magnitudes of negative pyrite Δ33S values are linked to the frequency of redox fluctuations
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The most negative pyrite Δ33S value occurs during frequent millennial- and centennial-redox oscillations
Climate
Holocene Fire Dynamics in the Altai Mountains and Its Driving Factors
- First Published: 02 May 2025
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Millennial-scale changes in fire intensity in the Mongolian Altai are mainly controlled by moisture-regulated biofuel availability
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Centennial-scale cold intervals reduced the fire event frequency
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Future fire risks in the Altai Mountains are expected to increase with global warming
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
Remote Sensing of River Discharge Based on Critical Flow Theory
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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Standing waves in rivers indicate unique hydraulic conditions that allow depth and velocity to be inferred from the spacing of the waves
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Critical flow theory can be used to calculate discharge based on measurements of wavelength and width made using readily available images
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Discharges estimated via the critical flow approach for 82 images agreed closely with discharges recorded at gaging stations ( = 0.98)
Space Sciences
Reconstructing Total Water Storage Anomalies Over the Lake Victoria Basin (1971–2022) Using an Enhanced RecNet Model
- First Published: 02 May 2025
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An enhanced RecNet model for reconstructing total water storage anomalies (TWSA) is introduced over the Lake Victoria Basin (LVB)
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The reconstruction outperforms hydrological models and reanalysis products in capturing the LVB's TWSA trends and amplitudes
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The reconstructed TWSA effectively closes the LVB's water balance budget
Climate
Inactive Tropical Cyclone Strengthens Western North Pacific Anticyclone
- First Published: 11 May 2025
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Reduced tropical cyclone activity contributes approximately 33% to the strengthening of the anticyclone during El Niños
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The decline in tropical cyclone activity is primarily driven by negative relative humidity anomalies
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Our findings align with the circulation theorem and suggest tropical cyclones may influence El Niño decay
Planets
Global Distribution of Dust Devil Tracks on Mars
- First Published: 12 May 2025
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Dust devil tracks (DDTs) on Mars are most common at ±60° lat and in local summer; apparently independent of ambient atmospheric pressure
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The global distributions of active dust devils and their tracks generally correspond, with several regional disparities
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DDTs form most readily where thin layers of dust overlie coarser-grained material and may contribute to lower albedos regionally
Space Sciences
A Peculiar Discontinuous Ionospheric Latitudinal Variation Over the East Asia Region During the Recovery Phase of the November 2003 Super Magnetic Storm: A Hint From May 2024 Superstorm
- First Published: 11 May 2025
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A peculiar discontinuous ionospheric latitudinal variation was observed during November 2003 superstorm
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It may be related to the vortex-like structure in thermospheric composition that lasted 3–4 hr
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The storm-time circulation during this event may have provided favorable conditions for the formation of a vortex-like structure
Atmospheric Science
Particulate Pollution Increases Fog Duration Over the Indo-Gangetic Plain
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Aerosols can constrain fog duration trends over Indo-Gangetic Plain
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Aerosol-cloud interaction effects cause the intensification of nighttime fog
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Aerosol-radiative effects promote calm, cool, and moist conditions during daytime and prolong fog dissipation
Radial Rainfall Pattern Changes of Intense Over-Ocean Tropical Cyclones Under Global Warming: Insights From an MRI HighRes CMIP6 Simulation
- First Published: 02 May 2025
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The tropical cyclone (TC) maximum rainfall increases by about 8.65%/K and the spatial extent of the rainfall slightly decreases by about 1.79%/K
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The TC maximum rainfall strongly correlates with a moisture convergence proxy
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The proxy is the maximum wind at the top of the boundary layer times the column water vapor divided by the radius of maximum wind
Oceans
Resolving Sharper Fronts of the Agulhas Current Retroflection Using SWOT Altimetry
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) captures stronger velocities than previous altimetry products, with velocities higher than 1.8 m being on average 50% larger
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SWOT's superior spatial resolution reveals submesoscale circulations and sharper fronts associated with the Agulhas Retroflection
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In situ drifter and glider velocity observations 0.5 m are more closely correlated to SWOT compared to previous altimetry products
Solid Earth
Fossil Subduction Zone Beneath the Eastern Yangtze Craton: Evidence From Seismic Reflections in the Upper Mantle
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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A high-resolution deep seismic profile in the eastern Yangtze Craton reveals SE-dipping mantle reflections to at least ∼100 km depth
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The mantle reflections beneath the nearly flat Moho indicate a fossil subduction zone during the assembly of the Yangtze Craton
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This mantle suture zone controlled the transition of thick-to thin-skinned thrust structures during Jurassic crustal shortening
Climate
Impact of Cold Tongue Bias on Indian Ocean Dipole Prediction Skills
- First Published: 07 May 2025
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Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) forecast skills, derived from model-analogs, exhibit significant diversity across models
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IOD prediction accuracy is linked to equatorial Pacific cold tongue errors
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A stronger cold tongue bias reduces IOD prediction skills through a weaker ENSO-IOD connection
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
Transport Mechanisms of Conservative Contaminants From Tidally Influenced Semi-Confined Aquifers to the Sea
- First Published: 06 May 2025
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Laboratory experiments first observed discharge of contaminants in a coastal semi-confined aquifer into the saltwater wedge of the overlying unconfined aquifer
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Transport of contaminants from semi-confined aquifers was slowed by two distinct retention mechanisms, both involving mixing processes with saltwater wedges
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Residence times of contaminants in semi-confined aquifers exhibited a non-monotonic trend with reduced aquitard permeability
Oceans
Hurricanes Induced Irreversible Large-Scale Loss of Mangrove Forests
- First Published: 06 May 2025
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The area of mangrove in South Florida experienced four sharp declines, with a slow recovery after each decline
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Mangroves loss showed an exponential decrease landward during tropical cyclones, while vegetation fringe extended seaward in fair weather
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Sea-level rise contributed insignificantly to mangrove deterioration in South Florida
Solid Earth
Time Evolution of Dehydration-Induced Stick-Slip Behaviors of Simulated Bassanite Gouges
- First Published: 12 May 2025
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During friction experiments on simulated bassanite gouges, pore pressure occurs due to the dehydration of bassanite
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The Avrami kinetics of dehydration bassanite represents the information on pore structures
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The amounts of stress drop and recurrence intervals of stick-slip are controlled by dehydration kinetics of hydrous minerals
Space Sciences
In Situ Analysis of Jupiter's Broadband Kilometric Auroral Radio Emissions With Juno
- First Published: 12 May 2025
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From a survey of 60 orbits, we identify 7 broadband-kilometric (bKOM) sources of Jovian auroral radio emissions crossed by Juno
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Four bKOM sources are associated with dawn storm-type ultraviolet aurorae, three of which are colocated with auroral cavities
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The bKOM sources are driven by the Cyclotron Maser Instability by conics and sometimes shell electron distribution functions
Atmospheric Science
The Intrinsic Timing Relationship Between Tropical Cyclone Maximum Intensification Rate and Lifetime Maximum Intensity
- First Published: 05 May 2025
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Energetically based intensification rate equation predicts storms may reach peak intensity within 36 hr after reaching maximum intensification rate
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Time interval between peak intensification rate and peak intensity shortens as sea surface temperature increases in idealized full-physics numerical simulations
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From 1982 to 2023, the majority of global tropical cyclones peaked in intensity within 36 hr after reaching maximum intensification rate
Quantifying the Differences in Southern Ocean Clouds Observed by Radar and Lidar From Three Platforms
- First Published: 04 May 2025
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A constant 4.5 dB offset was applied to all M-WACR reflectivities during the ship-based MARCUS using collocated cloud profiling radar (CPR) measurements
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The total cloud fractions (CFTs) derived from CPR (CloudSat), HCR (airborne-based SOCRATES), and corrected M-WACR show excellent agreement
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CloudSat CPR captured most large drizzle drops but missed a significant portion of small cloud droplets and underestimated CFs below 3 km
Climate
ENSO-Driven Seasonal Variability in Near-Surface Wind Speed and Wind Power Potential Across China
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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El Niño–Southern Oscillation has significant influences seasonal variations in near-surface wind speed (NSWS) across Northeast, North, Southwest, and South China
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A 1 K winter Niño 3.4 warming induces wind power density changes exceeding ±10% at 15%–50% of monitoring stations
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Coherent variations in 850 hPa wind speeds and NSWS indicate a tight dynamic coupling between the lower troposphere and the near-surface levels
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
Analyzing Compound Flooding Drivers Across the US Gulf Coast States
- First Published: 07 May 2025
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Rainfall is the primary contributing flood driver in both compound and non-compound flood events along the Gulf Coast of the US
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In 45% of the analyzed events, coincidence/concurrence of at least two flood drivers led to compound hazard situation
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Gulf Coast states are more prone to extreme fluvial and pluvial floods, which are more frequent and severe during tropical and fall seasons
Atmospheric Science
Differential Impacts of Sub-Daily Precipitation on Temperature Extremes Across China's Climatic Zones
- First Published: 07 May 2025
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The response of Tmax and Tmin to sub-daily precipitation varies across different climatic regions of China
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Sub-daily precipitation increases Tmin in arid regions, while it results in a decrease in Tmin in humid regions
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In humid regions, the warming trend of Tmax during wet weather fails to reach statistical significance
Oceans
Discovery of Dense Ferromanganese Nodules in the Central Basin of the South China Sea: Insights Into Metallogenesis Processes and Resource Potential
- First Published: 09 May 2025
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A high-backscatter zone spanning 1.21 km2 was proven to be a ferromanganese nodule-rich area via sampling and seafloor video
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Ferromanganese deposits in the central basin of the South China Sea are distributed in topographic highlands, not in abyssal basins
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Atypical hydrogenetic ferromanganese nodule metallogenesis in marginal seas with low Co contents and high Fe/Co ratios is modeled
Climate
Distinct Intraseasonal Oscillation Modes Over the Tropical Indo-Pacific Oceans
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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Eastward propagating, westward propagating, and stationary oscillating intraseasonal oscillation modes are revealed based on rainfall data
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The occurrence of each intraseasonal propagation mode is mutually suppressed by the others during the boreal winters
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Vertical zonal wind shear appears to be a critical factor modulating the development of different intraseasonal oscillation modes
Hydrology and Land Surface Studies
Functional Relationships Reveal Large Differences in Streamflow Response to eCO2-Vegetation in Global Water Models
- First Published: 09 May 2025
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Differences in streamflow simulations rise with elevated CO2, which can be seen in high variability across global water model simulations
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Shape of functional relationships linking eCO2-vegetation-streamflow and climate/land traits varies unevenly across models and observations
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We call for more catchment observations to define forms and parameters of vegetation growth and stomatal behavior under diverse conditions
Solid Earth
Low Geomagnetic Field Intensity in Southern China 6,000 Years Ago
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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Pottery shards from southern China, dated to 6,000 years ago, recorded paleointensity values ranging from 14.1 to 26.4 μT (20.7 ± 4.4 μT)
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These low paleointensities suggest an anomalous geomagnetic field behavior
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The findings indicate the West Pacific Anomaly likely recurred in Southeast Asia 6,000 years ago
Cryosphere
Predicting Melt Pond Coverage on Arctic Sea Ice From Pre-Melt Surface Topography
- First Published: 08 May 2025
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Sea ice melt pond formation is strongly predetermined by depressions in the surface topography
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We derive high predictability of melt pond fraction from pre-melt topography and melt volume estimates
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We assess the potential to predict precise locations of melt pond formation from the winter topography
Solid Earth
A Stress Memory Effect in Olivine at Upper Mantle Pressures and Temperatures
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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Cyclic deformation experiments on olivine were performed at upper mantle pressures
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Activity of acoustic emissions are limited when the differential stress exceeds the previous maximum stress
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The stress memory effect breaks down if the accumulated back stress is released
Oceans
Changes in Global Marine Heatwaves in a Non-stationary Climate
- First Published: 09 May 2025
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A global assessment of non-stationary changes in marine heatwave (MHW) return periods is presented
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At the 100-year return level, the global mean MHW frequency, intensity, and duration have increased by 67%, 23%, and 137%, respectively
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The increase in MHWs is primarily attributed to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, which account for over 80% of the changes
Atmospheric Science
Striking Distance Characteristics of Lightning Flashes Striking at and Below the Top of the Canton Tower
- First Published: 10 May 2025
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The side-strike lightning flashes account for approximately 21% (19/91) of downward negative cloud-to-ground lightning flashes to Canton Tower
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The higher the lightning strike position on the tall object, the longer the lightning striking distance
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The peak current of the first return stroke of lightning striking at the tower's top is significantly greater than that of side-strike lightning