• Issue

    Geophysical Research Letters: Volume 51, Issue 19

    16 October 2024

Issue Information

Open Access

Issue Information

  • First Published: 26 September 2024

Research Letter

Oceans

Open Access

Nonstationarity of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation's Fingerprint on Sea Surface Temperature

  • First Published: 28 September 2024
Key Points

  • Sea surface temperature based fingerprint of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) changes under different forcing scenarios

  • AMOC in steep decline significantly contributes to North Atlantic warming hole formation, largely due to cloud radiative forcing

  • AMOC plays a smaller role in North Atlantic SST variability in historical period and after CO2 stabilization than during significant warming

Solid Earth

Open Access

Lithospheric Structure Above the Northern Appalachian Anomaly: Initial Results From the NEST Array

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • We use P-to-S receiver function analysis to identify negative velocity gradients beneath New England

  • We find evidence for prominent negative velocity gradients between ∼60 and 110 km depth across stations of the NEST array

  • We infer relatively thin continental lithosphere above the Northern Appalachian Anomaly (NAA) in the upper mantle

Climate

Open Access

Tree Rings Reveal ENSO in the Last Millennium

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Tree-ring series from ENSO rainfall impact regions reconstruct tropical Pacific SSTs with high degrees of skill back to 1500 CE and 1100 CE

  • Two very different reconstruction methods produce similar results and each can only reconstruct the leading EOF mode of SST variability

  • Reconstructions extending back 1100 CE indicate a recent increase in El Niño variability, and overall SST warming in the equatorial Pacific

Solid Earth

Open Access

The Sofu Seamount Submarine Volcano Present in the Source Area of the October 2023 Earthquakes and Tsunamis in Japan

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • A bathymetric survey of the Sofu Seamount was conducted after the unique T-phase dominant earthquakes and tsunamis on 8 October 2023

  • Compared to data in 1987, the caldera and central cone topography have changed, indicating that this seamount is an active submarine volcano

  • The observed seafloor displacement at the caldera scale may have contributed to the source of the tsunami on 8 October 2023

Oceans

Open Access

Overestimation of Mangroves Deterioration From Sea Level Rise in Tropical Deltas

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Mangroves along typical deltas are expanding seaward of about 18% ± 12% m/yr, indicating that there is little impacts from sea level rise

  • Mangrove expansion here can efficiently offset 67% landward mangrove losses

  • New model project that 90% of mangrove fringes may start retreating within 132–194 years, and wave-dominated delta present early inundation

Open Access

Diverse Responses of Upper Ocean Temperatures to Chlorophyll-Induced Solar Absorption Across Different Coastal Upwelling Regions

  • First Published: 07 October 2024
Key Points

  • Chlorophyll-induced solar absorption leads to colder Pacific coastal upwelling but warmer Atlantic coastal upwelling

  • In Pacific, chlorophyll-induced temperature variations intensify ocean stratification and coastal upwelling, in contrast to Atlantic

  • Chlorophyll-induced variations in ocean physics trigger positive feedback, enhancing chlorophyll distributions in coastal upwelling regions

Planets

Open Access

Analysis of Orbital Sounding in Context With In-Situ Ground Penetrating Radar at Jezero Crater, Mars

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • RIMFAX-detected interfaces are within SHARAD's ranges; however, no reflector can be identified in standard radar data at overlap regions

  • Resolution improvements and clutter mitigation techniques still highlight a lack of detectable subsurface reflections

  • Rough surface, volume scattering and attenuation over older volcanics (>1.5 Ga) significantly inhibits orbital data interpretation

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Multi-Decadal Dynamics of Global Rainfall Interception and Their Drivers

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Rainfall interception loss exhibits increasing trends globally

  • Its multi-decadal trends are driven by vegetation greening and warming, whereas interannual variations are controlled by precipitation

  • ENSO regulates rainfall interception loss largely through its influence on precipitation dynamics

Solid Earth

Open Access

Nearshore Propagation and Amplification of the Tsunami Following the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake, Japan

  • First Published: 05 October 2024
Key Points

  • Generation, propagation, and amplification characteristics of a tsunami following the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake were investigated

  • Significant sea-surface displacements were concentrated in the northeastern part of the source area

  • Waves propagating in alongshore directions and their superposition greatly contributed to coastal damage in Iida Bay

Planets

Open Access

Statistical Survey of Interchange Events in the Jovian Magnetosphere Using Juno Observations

  • First Published: 05 October 2024
Key Points

  • Our statistical survey indicates that interchange events occur over L (or M)-shells ∼6–26 at Jupiter with a peak occurrence rate at M ∼ 17

  • During interchange events, various types of plasma waves are intensified, each exhibiting a distinct preferential location

  • The duration and the corresponding spatial extent of interchange events are analyzed for multiple events

Space Sciences

Open Access

Dawn-Dusk Asymmetry of Plasma Flow in Jupiter's Middle Magnetosphere Observed by Juno

  • First Published: 09 October 2024
Key Points

  • The dawn-dusk asymmetry between 10 and 40 RJ is modulated by the Vasyliūnas cycle, featuring super-corotating flows in the pre-dawn sector

  • The flux tubes are depleted and accelerated on the dawnside, while they are dense and sub-corotational on the duskside

  • The temperature difference between inflows and outflows suggests physically distinct origins

Oceans

Open Access

A Global Ocean Opal Ballasting–Silicate Relationship

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • Opal ballasting varies by more than a factor of six across ocean regions; calcium carbonate ballasting is uniform

  • Silicate concentration predicts opal ballasting which suggests that the latter varies with diatom frustule thickness

  • This emergent relationship's absence from a sophisticated biogeochemical model indicates it holds useful information for constraining models

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

Higher Onshore Wind Energy Potentials Revealed by Kilometer-Scale Atmospheric Modeling

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • Simulated ERA5 and km-scale ICON-LAM wind speeds are evaluated and corresponding southern Africa wind energy potentials are calculated

  • ERA5 underestimates 60 m wind speed, whereas ICON-LAM produces lower biases in the wind speed simulations

  • Higher wind energy potentials are revealed from wind speeds simulated by ICON-LAM compared to ERA5, which is often used for such assessments

Oceans

Open Access

A New Ecosystem Model for Arctic Phytoplankton Phenology From Ice-Covered to Open-Water Periods: Implications for Future Sea Ice Retreat Scenarios

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • We develop new ecosystem model for phytoplankton phenology during ice-covered to open-water periods using observations from the Chukchi Sea

  • The model successfully captures the succession of phytoplankton groups reported by previous studies, not resolved by previous models

  • The model predicts that dominant phytoplankton groups can be significantly altered by future sea ice scenarios

Open Access

Rapid Acidification of the Arctic Chukchi Sea Waters Driven by Anthropogenic Forcing and Biological Carbon Recycling

  • First Published: 01 October 2024

Key Points

  • pH and Ωarag declined significantly from 2002 to 2018 during sea-ice melting season, 4–6 times greater than air CO2 increases-induced changes

  • The enhanced acidification in the Chukchi Sea is mainly driven by increased DIC, owing to atmospheric CO2 uptake and biological activity

  • PWW has been in aragonite undersaturation since 2010; other water masses are expected to encounter Ωarag < 1 in 15 years

Cryosphere

Open Access

Modeling Ocean Heat Transport to the Grounding Lines of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith, and Kohler Glaciers, West Antarctica

  • First Published: 07 October 2024
Key Points

  • From a 2005–2006 simulation, it takes about 3 years for water to reach the grounding lines from the edge of the Amundsen Sea Embayment

  • The simulation shows the Antarctic Coastal Current contributing equal amounts of water to Pine Island and Thwaites as off-shelf sources

  • SOhi results indicate that 1/4 to 2/3 of the cooling between the shelf break and the grounding lines occurs within the cavities

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

Observing the SO2 and Sulfate Aerosol Plumes From the 2022 Hunga Eruption With the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI)

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Novel co-retrieval of SO2 and sulfate aerosol from Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) used to study the dispersion of the Hunga plume over the entire year 2022

  • Rapid conversion of SO2 (2 weeks e-folding time) and long-lasting sulfate aerosol observed

  • Larger SO2 injected mass burden (>1.0 Tg) than previously thought and a large sulfate aerosol total burden (1.6 Tg) estimated

Climate

Open Access

Enhanced “Wind-Evaporation Effect” Drove the “Deep-Tropical Contraction” in the Early Eocene

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • The “deep tropical contraction” in the early Eocene is caused by the equatorward migration of the seasonal ITCZ

  • The equatorward migration of the solstitial ITCZ location in the early Eocene is due to decreased cross-equatorial energy transport

  • The enhanced wind-evaporation effect in the early Eocene reduces the cross-equatorial atmospheric energy transport in the solstitial seasons

Solid Earth

Open Access

Event-Feature-Based Clustering Reveals Continuous Distribution of Tectonic Tremors of 0.3–100 s: Application to Western Japan

  • First Published: 09 October 2024
Key Points

  • We compile a more complete tectonic tremor catalog for western Japan using a clustering method based on event features

  • Event duration, newly defined using energy radiation, clearly separates tectonic tremors from fast earthquakes

  • Tectonic tremors, ranging in duration from 0.3 to 100 s, are consistent with the scaling law of slow earthquakes

Space Sciences

Open Access

Improved Lifetime Model of Energetic Electrons Due to Their Interactions With Chorus Waves

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • The new lifetime model provides extended space coverage in comparison to current widely used lifetime models

  • Such parameterized lifetimes are very significant for simulations of the dynamics of radiation belt and ring current electrons

  • Using the new electron lifetime model in simulations improves the agreement between the simulation results and the satellite observations

Solid Earth

Open Access

Volcanic Precursor Revealed by Machine Learning Offers New Eruption Forecasting Capability

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • Unsupervised learning separated regular earthquakes and precursory mixed frequency earthquakes (MFEs) based on different spectral patterns

  • The regular earthquakes have strong tidal modulation, corresponding to failures on the caldera ring faults triggered by tidal stress changes

  • The MFEs intensify 15 hr before eruption and migrate along pre-existing fissures, likely associated with eruption preparation processes

Oceans

Open Access

Observational Insights of Nearshore Wind Stress and Parameterizations From Gaussian Process Regressions

  • First Published: 29 September 2024
Key Points

  • Ten air-sea buoys for winds and fluxes, deployed with wave buoys in four experiments, improve nearshore wind stress observation gaps

  • Supervised machine learning enhances nearshore wind stress predictions, yielding parameterized variable responses without preconceptions

  • Nearshore wind stress parameterizations relative to the open-ocean have similar variable responses though with small nonlinear differences

Solid Earth

Open Access

Rapid Uplift, yet Slow Denudation of the Suckling-Dayman Metamorphic Core Complex in Tropical Papua New Guinea

  • First Published: 07 October 2024
Key Points

  • 10Be-in-quartz denudation rates of the rapidly uplifting Suckling-Dayman Metamorphic Core Complex are in the range of 0.02–0.18 mm/yr

  • Rapid, intense weathering of its metabasaltic footwall bedrock is implied by mobile and immobile weathering indices in soil samples

  • The pristine topography of Mount Dayman is strongly influenced by rolling hinge-style tectonics and the tropical weathering regime

Oceans

Open Access

Cliff Notching Due To Swash Abrasion: Insights From Physical Experiments

  • First Published: 28 September 2024
Key Points

  • Controlled laboratory experiments with repeated swash impacts reveal positive and negative feedback mechanisms in abrasion notch formation

  • Notch geometry varies over time and is determined by swash impact location, vortex formation and sediment deposition

  • Grain size modulates beach shape and sediment-laden bore momentum, collectively influencing notch development

Solid Earth

Open Access

Ocean Surface Gravity Waves Excited by the 2022 Eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Volcano

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Ocean surface gravity waves at 15–40 mHz were excited at 4:00 UTC when an underwater eruption occurred at Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Volcano

  • A significant sub-event at about 8:40 UTC followed the main event, and the ocean surface gravity waves lasted for half a day

  • The observations of ocean surface gravity waves suggest a blowout of seawater above the summit and the inflow of seawater into the crater

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

Fire in Feces: Bats Reliably Record Fire History in Their Guano

  • First Published: 04 October 2024
Key Points

  • Fire history is recorded by charcoal in bat guano

  • Bat guano can differentiate human-set fires from wildfires

  • Bat behavior governs seasonal lens of guano as fire recorder

Space Sciences

Open Access

The 2022 February 15 Solar Energetic Particle Event at Mars: A Synergistic Study Combining Multiple Radiation Detectors on the Surface and in Orbit of Mars With Models

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • A major solar particle event (SPE) was simultaneously measured by multiple detectors both on the surface and in orbit of Mars

  • The first analysis of a SPE at Mars measured by the Tianwen-1 Mars orbiter serves to verify its capacity in high-energy particle detection

  • We compare the radiation measurements, both on the surface and in orbit of Mars, with results derived from data-based models

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Frozen Saline Sand Can Be Highly Permeable

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • Pore-scale unfrozen water can be interconnected, enabling fast mass transport below 0°C when soil contains salt

  • Rapid freezing enhances unfrozen water connectivity and permeability due to less and slower salt migration during freezing

  • Permeability of frozen saline sand can be several orders of magnitude higher than that of salt-free soil

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

The Interdecadal Changes of the Relationship Between May-June and July-August NWPSH and Their Physical Mechanisms

  • First Published: 04 October 2024
Key Points

  • The relationship between the Northwest Pacific subtropical high (NWPSH) in May-June and July-August has significantly weakened after 2002

  • The reason for weakening relationship of NWPSH is that the persistent eastern ENSO has become a short-period central ENSO after 2002

  • Central ENSO will become Pacific Dipole mode in summer, which will weaken the influence of North Indian Ocean on NWPSH

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

A Dimensionless Framework for the Partitioning of Fluvial Inorganic Carbon

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Rivers partition inorganic carbon between downstream transport and C O 2 ${\mathrm{C}\mathrm{O}}_{2}$ emissions to the atmosphere

  • Incorporating key hydrodynamic and biogeochemical processes, we identify the dimensionless numbers that govern the inorganic carbon partitioning

  • Water hydrodynamics plays a critical role in the fate of the carbon that is out of equilibrium with the atmosphere

Solid Earth

Open Access

Strain Partitioning in the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau From Kinematic Modeling of High-Resolution Sentinel-1 InSAR and GNSS

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • We construct velocity and strain rate fields covering 1.3 million km2 of SE Tibet from Sentinel-1 Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar

  • Deformation is partitioned approximately equally between focused strain on the main mapped faults and diffuse deformation

  • Direct inversion of strain rates removes the requirement to define artificial “blocks” and gives a better match to geological slip rates

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

Microphysical Interactions Determine the Effectiveness of Solar Radiation Modification via Stratospheric Solid Particle Injection

  • First Published: 07 October 2024
Key Points

  • We explore stratospheric injections of six solid particles and gaseous SO2 within a climate model with comprehensive aerosol microphysics

  • Accounting for settling and agglomeration of solid particles can substantially reduce the radiative forcing (RF) per unit of injected material

  • Injection of diamond particles (r = 150 nm) instead of SO2 largely reduces stratospheric temperature, circulation and water vapor anomalies

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Planted Forests Greened 7% Slower Than Natural Forests in Southern China Over the Past Forty Years

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • Planted forests showed slightly lower greenness than paired natural forests in Southern China from 1987 to 2021

  • Over the past 40 years, the greening trends of planted forests were overall 7.0% lower than natural forests in Southern China

  • Environmental change, and not human interventions, was likely the dominant cause of observed greening in Southern China

Planets

Open Access

Magnetite Survivability and Non-Stoichiometric Magnetite Formation in Presence of Oxyhalogen Brines on Mars

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Magnetite shows resistance to oxidation by oxyhalogen compounds (chlorate and bromate) in Mars-relevant fluids

  • Non-stoichiometric magnetite on Mars may be formed by aqueous alteration of stoichiometric magnetite by oxyhalogen compounds

  • Magnetite likely preserves geochemical, paleomagnetic and astrobiological information and is an important target mineral in Mars return samples

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Morphology of Brine-Seawater Interface and Spatial Distribution of Submarine Groundwater Discharge Windows in the Muddy Coast

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • The bay-scale brine-seawater interface (BSI) is a long mixing zone with underground water salinity ranging from high to low from land to sea

  • The nearshore seabed fine sand area and offshore pockmarked area are the main windows for underground brine discharge

  • The BSI morphology and submarine groundwater discharge/exchange windows can be identified by comprehensive geophysical detection results

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

Traffic Bottlenecks: Predicting Atmospheric Blocking With a Diminishing Flow Capacity

  • First Published: 04 October 2024
Key Points

  • Flow capacity exceedance events, predictors of blocking onset in the traffic jam theory, are defined and evaluated in climate reanalyses

  • A downstream reduction in flow capacity is ubiquitous for both exceedance and blocking events: lane closures favor traffic jams

  • Blocks are co-located with exceedance events in space but not in time, limiting the utility of the traffic jam theory for prediction

Oceans

Open Access

Wave-Influenced Delta Morphodynamics, Long-Term Sediment Bypass and Trapping Controlled by Relative Magnitudes of Riverine and Wave-Driven Sediment Transport

  • First Published: 04 October 2024
Key Points

  • Deltas transition from avulsion-dominated with localized depocenters to more diffuse and alongshore-deflected wave-dominated depocenters

  • Bypass increases and trapping decreases abruptly when longshore transport (LST) at the river mouth equals river sediment transport (Qs)

  • LST under large-scale blocking due to mouth bar and shoreface adjustment feeds wave-dominated updrift beach ridge plains (strandplains)

Climate

Open Access

Climate Change Impact on “Outdoor Days” Over the United States

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • We project how climate change reshapes seasonality of US outdoor days

  • Future climate change will likely result in a northwest-southeast disparity in the projected change of annual outdoor days in the US

  • We provide new evidence of the impact of global warming on the quality of human life, travel, and tourism in the US

Space Sciences

Open Access

The High Latitude Ionospheric Response to the Major May 2024 Geomagnetic Storm: A Synoptic View

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • Plasma lifting during the storm caused midlatitude displacements of ionospheric peak height by as much as 300 km over the course of 1 hour

  • Sporadic-E is observed at the sub-auroral convective boundary edge of the storm-enhanced density with strong plasma drift shears present

  • Severe depletion of electron density at mid and high latitudes significantly reduced the impact of subsequent geomagnetic activity on GNSS

Open Access

Magnetospheric Line Radiation: Temporal Modulation Corresponding to a Bouncing Wave

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Magnetospheric line radiation may have a fine temporal structure related to the wave bouncing between hemispheres

  • Analysis of the corresponding modulation periods allows estimation of the L-shell of a tentative source

  • Tentative source locations of analyzed events with the fine temporal structure correlate with the model plasmapause locations

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Land-To-Sea Mapping of the Glacial Erosion Unconformity Reveals Evolution of the Jasmund Glacitectonic Complex East of Rügen Island (SW Baltic Sea)

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • Seismic mapping, offshore channels and depressions, thrust-fault structures, ice advance dynamics, Jasmund Glacitectonic Complex, Rügen Island and surrounding Baltic Sea, NE Germany

Open Access

Diurnal Vegetation Moisture Cycle in the Amazon and Response to Water Stress

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Global Navigation Satellite System Refractometry offers unprecedented sampling, unveiling Amazon's diurnal vegetation water content

  • Vegetation water content generally peaks in mornings, fluctuating significantly throughout the day

  • Amazonian peatland's VWC diurnal cycle correlates strongly ( R = 0.8 ) $(R=0.8)$ with vapor pressure deficit, proposed as a water stress indicator

Solid Earth

Open Access

Automatic Monitoring of Rock-Slope Failures Using Distributed Acoustic Sensing and Semi-Supervised Learning

  • First Published: 28 September 2024
Key Points

  • A semi-supervised neural network is developed for rock-slope failure monitoring with Distributed Acoustic Sensing at Brienz, Switzerland

  • Our model achieves over 95% precision for rock slope failures detected by a Doppler radar system over 45 days

  • The sustained detection of slope failures before the major collapse highlights the potential of our approach for early warning

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

Are Parameterized Entrainment Rates as Scale-Dependent as Those Estimated From Cloud Resolving Model Simulations?

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • The estimated LES/CRM entrainment rates increase with increasing resolution, and the growth rate is roughly power-law related to resolution

  • The majority of entrainment schemes fail to reproduce the monotonic increase in entrainment rate with increasing resolution

  • Entrainment scaling helps reduce the parcel buoyancy and thus the convective available potential energy toward higher resolutions

Open Access

Predictability Limit of the 2021 Pacific Northwest Heatwave From Deep-Learning Sensitivity Analysis

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • We use nonlinear gradient descent to optimize initial conditions for weather forecasting with machine learning models

  • Application to the Pacific Northwest June 2021 heatwave reduces 10-day forecast error by over 90 percent

  • Forecast improvements are not sensitive to the forecast model, and derive mainly from analysis errors on synoptic and larger scales

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Air and Surface Temperatures Differently Drive Terrestrial Carbon and Water Cycles in the High Latitudes

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Plant growths in tundra are stimulated by surface temperature which is higher than air temperature in summer months

  • Forcing temperature is crucial in determining high-latitude vegetation structure and productivity

  • Nor surface or air temperature can sufficiently capture plant temperature dynamics

Oceans

Open Access

Toward Comprehensive Understanding of Air-Sea Interactions Under Tropical Cyclones: On the Importance of High Resolution and Multi-Modal Observations

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • Residual sea surface height anomalies from the cold wakes of Tropical Cyclones are analyzed using a multi-modal approach at global scale

  • A scaling law provides a robust interpretation of the baroclinic response to given ocean stratification and forcing conditions

  • High resolution measurements are found critical to correctly anticipate the SSHA amplitudes with localized pre-storm ocean stratification

Open Access

Impact of North Atlantic Tripole and Extratropical North Pacific Extreme SSTs on the 2023/24 El Niño

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • The Niño3.4 sea surface temperature (SST) in 2023/24 indicated a moderate El Niño. However, the westerly anomaly in the western Pacific was not evident

  • The weak westerly in response to the Niño3.4 SST indicated a weak air-sea coupling for the 2023/24 El Niño

  • The North Atlantic Tripole and extratropical North Pacific extreme SSTs play a crucial role in modulating 2023/24 El Niño

Solid Earth

Open Access

Unraveling the Distribution of Black Carbon in Chinese Forest Soils Using Machine Learning Approaches

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • The black carbon (BC) inventory and distribution in Chinese forest soils on a large geographic scale were first determined

  • Machine learning (ML) models exhibited superior prediction accuracy for BC with higher condensed aromaticity

  • Soil organic matter properties were the most critical in predicting BC content

Oceans

Open Access

The Sensitivity of the Spatial Pattern of Sea Level Changes to the Depth of Antarctic Meltwater Fluxes

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • The depth at which Antarctic meltwater enters the ocean influences global sea level change patterns simulated with an idealized model

  • The sea level change patterns tend to travel more slowly across the global ocean when meltwater fluxes occur at depth

  • The propagation speed of the pattern is dictated primarily by the steric response to the depth of the meltwater fluxes

Solid Earth

Open Access

Creep on the Argentine Precordillera Décollement Following the 2015 Illapel, Chile, Earthquake: Implications for Andean Seismotectonics

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Revised co- and postseismic slip models account for forearc-backarc coupling by allowing slip on the Argentine Precordillera décollement

  • Observed continuous and survey Global Navigation Satellite System displacements on both sides of the Andes are better explained by models with a décollement

  • Adding a décollement significantly reduces megathrust coseismic slip and afterslip overlap, compatible with rate and state friction law

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

An Observed Relationship Between Satellite-Estimated Transmittance and Ground-Estimated Water Vapor: Implications for High-Temporal-Resolution Water Vapor Retrieval From Non-Geostationary Satellite Measurements

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • For the first time, a relationship between Ocean and Land Color Instrument and Global Navigation Satellite System is observed and defined

  • An empirical retrieval model is proposed to directly derive high-temporal-resolution water vapor from Ocean and Land Color Instrument data

  • The newly retrieved water vapor has satisfactory performance when compared with additional Global Navigation Satellite System measurements

Open Access

Aircraft Observations Reveal the Relationship Between Cumulus Entrainment Rate and Aerosol Loading

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • The relationship between cumulus entrainment rate and aerosol loading is quantified based on observation for the first time

  • The plausible physical mechanism linking entrainment rate to aerosol loading has been elucidated

  • A steeper decline in entrainment rate with increasing aerosol loading is observed in small and weakly buoyant cumulus clouds

Space Sciences

Open Access

Aurorally Driven Supersonic Gravity Waves in Saturn's Atmosphere

  • First Published: 27 September 2024
Key Points

  • General circulation modeling reveals large-scale gravity waves in the upper atmosphere of Saturn that have never been reported before

  • Waves are forced by Joule heating and ion drag at high-latitude auroral regions, propagate outward and form a global spiral structure

  • The net dynamical effect of these zonally supersonic and meridionally subsonic waves is to accelerate the westward retrograde jets

Open Access

Inertia of Ionospheric Conductance During Electron Precipitation Events

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • Ionospheric conductance is the system response to electron precipitation in the regions of pulsating and discrete auroras

  • Ionospheric conductance carries the inertias of its development and decay

  • Conductance formation in pulsating aurora and discrete auroral arcs are defined by multiple temporal scales

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

The Evolution of the Hunga Hydration in a Moistening Stratosphere

  • First Published: 28 September 2024
Key Points

  • The stratospheric water vapor mass has remained essentially unchanged since the Hunga hydration through at least early 2024

  • Fueled by excess Hunga water vapor, 2023 Antarctic vortex polar stratospheric cloud dehydration exceeded the climatological mean by ∼50%

  • Given its robust (and potentially accelerating) background moistening trend, the stratosphere could stay anomalously humid for years

Open Access

Why Does Atmospheric Radiative Heating Weaken Midlatitude Cyclones?

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • When radiative interactions are suppressed, the global-mean eddy kinetic energy increases by ∼6%

  • Radiative cooling coincident with positive temperature anomalies destroys eddy available potential energy and eddy kinetic energy

  • The energetic perspective provides a useful way to understand the effect of radiative heating on the general circulation

Space Sciences

Open Access

Role of Ion Dynamics in Electron-Only Magnetic Reconnection

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Electrons are not accelerated to electron Alfvén speed in electron-only magnetic reconnection

  • Deceleration of electron outflow caused by in-plane Hall electric field should not be ignored

Cryosphere

Open Access

Tracking the Filling, Outburst Flood and Resulting Subglacial Water Channel From a Large Canadian Arctic Subglacial Lake

  • First Published: 07 October 2024
Key Points

  • Using satellite height change data we document the discovery of a 52 km2 subglacial lake under the Manson Icefield, Nunavut, Canada

  • The lake filled for around 14 years until early 2021 when the level in the center of the lake dropped by 130 m over 30 days

  • The outflow volume was around 4 cubic kilometers and created a wide and shallow subglacial channel that could be tracked for over 15 km

Climate

Open Access

Surface Warming Constraint Projects Less Permafrost Thawing in High Mountain Asia

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Models that overestimate warming rates tend to also overestimate permafrost degradation over High Mountain Asia

  • An emergent relationship between equilibrium climate sensitivity and surface warming is used to constrain future permafrost projections

  • The permafrost area will reduce by 37%, 64% and 99% in 2081–2100 relative to 2000–2016 under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios

Oceans

Open Access

Organic Carbon Reaction Kinetics in Bioturbated Sediments

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • Age-dependent organic carbon kinetics is coupled to a Lagrangian particle tracking model

  • Organic carbon concentrations, reactivities and degradation rates in the bioturbated zone are presented

  • A simple first-order (one-G) model suffices for well-mixed sediments and sediments receiving pre-processed organic carbon

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

First Observational Evidence That Dust-Driven Cloud Phase Changes Cool the Surface Over Summertime Arctic Sea Ice

  • First Published: 05 October 2024
Key Points

  • Dust causes a fraction of Arctic clouds to change phase, leading to summertime cooling over sea ice

  • This is the first observational study to constrain likely dust-related cloud radiative effects in this region

  • Changes to the cloud radiative effect (1.5 to 6.3 W m−2) may be underestimated here due to uncertainties in near-surface dust concentrations

Solid Earth

Open Access

Competing Phases of Iron at Earth's Core Conditions From Deep-Learning-Aided ab-initio Simulations

  • First Published: 07 October 2024
Key Points

  • The body-centered cubic structure of iron is mechanically stable at inner core conditions

  • The hexagonal close-packed structure is more stable, but small free energy differences could allow impurities to reverse this stability

  • The observed low shear velocity in the Earth's inner core is likely to be caused by the presence of the body-centered cubic phase

Atmospheric Science

Open Access

A Dynamic Smagorinsky Model for Horizontal Turbulence Parameterization in Tropical Cyclone Simulation

  • First Published: 28 September 2024
Key Points

  • Standard Smagorinsky model with default constant coefficient is overly dissipative for tropical cyclone (TC), underpredicting TC intensity

  • We are the first to attempt to implement the dynamic Smagorinsky model for horizontal turbulence parameterization in TC mesoscale numerical weather prediction model

  • Dynamic Smagorinsky model significantly reduces the bias in TC intensity forecasts

Hydrology and Land Surface Studies

Open Access

Rootzone Soil Moisture Dynamics Using Terrestrial Water-Energy Coupling

  • First Published: 28 September 2024
Key Points

  • Terrestrial water-energy coupling is used to parameterize low-pass filter to estimate rootzone dynamics from surface soil moisture

  • Rootzone degree of saturation and water-energy coupling thresholds are estimated using evaporative fraction and surface soil moisture

  • SMAP-based rootzone degree of saturation can used for operational, near-real-time agricultural drought monitoring over Contiguous U.S

Space Sciences

Open Access

First Detection of the Enigmatic Low Latitude 150-km Echoes in the UHF Band

  • First Published: 01 October 2024
Key Points

  • Successful first detection of daytime 150-km echoes in the Ultra-High-Frequency band with Sanya Incoherent Scatter Radar

  • We detected wider forbidden region and larger altitudinal and local time coverage than previous results

  • Narrow layering features not following the zenith angle point to field-aligned irregularitie echoes

Oceans

Open Access

Effects of CO2 on the Nitrogen Isotopic Composition of Marine Diazotrophic Cyanobacteria

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • The effects of CO2 on the biomass δ15N signatures of the diazotrophs Trichodesmium erythraeum and Crocosphaera watsonii are examined

  • Both species produce biomass with δ15N values lower under both decreased and elevated CO2 concentrations compared to modern CO2 levels

  • CO2-controlled nitrogenase efficiency significantly influences organismal isotopic fractionation during N2 fixation

Space Sciences

Open Access

Latitudinal Mapping of Chorus Waves Growth Rates Based on Multi-Spacecraft Wave and Plasma Measurements

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • Chorus waves growth rates were estimated based on Cluster multi-point electric field waveform measurements

  • The nonlinear growth rates were derived from electron distribution function measurements collected in the chorus source region

  • A good agreement of nonlinear growth rates with values obtained from waveforms is demonstrated

Open Access

Unexpected STEVE Observations at High Latitude During Quiet Geomagnetic Conditions

  • First Published: 08 October 2024
Key Points

  • Non-storm and non-substorm Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement (STEVE) occurrence

  • Strong subauroral flows during quiet geomagnetic conditions

  • The ionospheric electrodynamics of this STEVE event differ from previous studies

Oceans

Open Access

Precession-Driven Variations in the Indonesian Throughflow Thermocline and Its Implications on the Agulhas Leakage

  • First Published: 26 September 2024
Key Points

  • Precession drove variations in the ITF thermocline by modulating the intensity of the Australian-Indonesian winter monsoon, ENSO-like states and formation of the North Pacific Tropical Water

  • Variations in the ITF thermocline regulated the amount of AL and seawater temperature and salinity of South Atlantic thermocline

Climate

Open Access

How Extreme Were Daily Global Temperatures in 2023 and Early 2024?

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • At the current rate of global warming, a normal year 2023 would have equaled the record of 2016, without any help of El Nino

  • The most extreme anomalies of 2023/24 rank among the most extreme of the entire record since 1940

  • The 2023/24 heat can be reconciled with current estimates of global warming and an extreme but not implausible peak of internal variability

Open Access

Northward Shift of Pre-Monsoon Zonal Winds Exacerbating Heatwaves Over India

  • First Published: 03 October 2024
Key Points

  • The pre-monsoon season witnessed a regime shift in 1998, resulting in a rise in temperature over North-Central India

  • The subtropical westerly jet index positively correlates with the heatwave characteristics, explaining more than 25% of heatwave variability

  • The increase in heatwaves post-1998 can be partially attributed to the northward shifting of the subtropical westerly jet

Solid Earth

Open Access

Large-Scale Extensional Strain in Southern Tibet From Sentinel-1 InSAR and GNSS Data

  • First Published: 30 September 2024
Key Points

  • We present InSAR-based, high-resolution maps of 3-D velocities and strain rates in Southern Tibet

  • There is prevailing dilatational strain along seven rift zones in Southern Tibet, with a total extension rate of 18.4 ± 1.7 mm/yr

  • We show the distribution and spatial variations of extension rates for seven rift zones