Our previous numerical studies of plume dynamics without secular cooling effects demonstrated that the internal heating rate of the Earth's mantle is constrained to be ∼70% by inferred plume heat flux and plume excess temperature in the upper mantle. In this paper, by integrating the secular cooling effects into the numerical studies, we demonstrate that the dependence of plume-related observations on internal heating rate is not affected by secular cooling and that the plume-related observations are only dependent on the internal heating rate and insensitive to its partitioning between radiogenic heating and secular cooling, thus confirming the conclusions of ∼70% internal heating rate from our previous numerical studies. Furthermore, we present a new analysis to constrain the internal heating rate with the plume-related observations based on the energy balance of mantle convection. The analysis shows that the internal heating rate of the mantle has a lower bound of ∼60% to satisfy the energy balance of the mantle with current plume observations, which is consistent with the conclusions from our numerical studies.
 The total surface heat flux for the present-day Earth is ∼43 TW, among which ∼36 TW surface heat flux is attributed to the heat released from mantle convection processes, while the other ∼7 TW is caused by radiogenic heating in the continental crust [Davies, 1999]. The mantle heat flux consists of three parts: heat from the core, mantle radiogenic heating, and heat loss from mantle secular cooling. The heat loss from mantle secular cooling releases heat from the mantle interior and is similar to the effects of radiogenic heating. These two heating sources are often termed as mantle internal heating. The partitioning of the mantle heat flux among these three heating sources has significant implications for the dynamic evolution and chemical composition of the Earth's mantle and core, but is still under great debates [Davies, 1988, 1999; Sleep, 1990; Gubbins et al., 2004; Boyet and Carlson, 2005; Huang and Zhong, 2005; Sleep, 2006; Zhong, 2006; Korenaga, 2008; Lay et al., 2008].
 Heat flux from the core may be constrained by studies of mantle plumes that ascend from the Core-Mantle Boundary (CMB) and carry the heat from the core [Morgan, 1971]. Plume heat flux in the upper mantle is estimated to be 6%–10% of mantle heat flux or 2.4–3.5 TW, based on observations of plate motion and plume-induced swell topography [Davies, 1988; Sleep, 1990]. The uncertainties with this estimated plume heat flux may result from temporal and spatial variability of mantle plumes [e.g., Jellinek et al., 2003; Davies, 1999]. Davies  and Sleep  originally treated the plume heat flux in the upper mantle as the heat released from the core, and inferred the mantle internal heating rate to be ∼90%. Plume excess temperature in the upper mantle is estimated to be 250–350 K in the upper mantle [Schilling, 1991], or 19%–27% of the average temperature in the upper mantle which is generally agreed to be ∼1300°C [Turcotte and Schubert, 2002]. Numerical modeling of plume dynamics has shown that plume heat flux and plume excess temperature in the upper mantle are strongly dependent on the mantle internal heating rate and that the internal heating rate needs to be ∼70% to reproduce the plume-related observations in the upper mantle [Zhong, 2006; Leng and Zhong, 2008a]. This result triples the estimate of CMB heat flux by Davies  and Sleep . The difference is caused by the adiabatic heating effect which significantly reduces plume heat flux as plumes ascend but was ignored by Davies  and Sleep .
 One potential problem from previous numerical studies is that the results are generally quantified after the convection system reaches to a statistically steady state [Zhong, 2006; Leng and Zhong, 2008a]. The steady-state convection means that there is no secular cooling of the mantle, which may not be appropriate for the Earth's mantle. The secular cooling rate of the mantle is estimated within a large range, from 50–70 K/Ga [Abbott et al., 1994] to ∼100 K/Ga [Nisbet and Fowler, 1983; Berry et al., 2008]. More studies are therefore needed to verify whether the previous results from steady-state models still stand with secular cooling.
 Additionally, the energetics of the mantle requires that the total viscous heating and total adiabatic heating balance out each other [Turcotte et al., 1974; Hewitt et al., 1975; Zhang and Yuen, 1996a; Leng and Zhong, 2008b], and that the total viscous heating is constrained by surface heat flux and internal heating rate [Hewitt et al., 1975; Jarvis and McKenzie, 1980]. On the other hand, from the numerical studies, it has been demonstrated that the plume heat flux is strongly related to the adiabatic heating [Leng and Zhong, 2008a]. Based on these arguments, it is natural to ask whether the plume-related observations can be directly used to constrain internal heating rate based on the energy balance.
 In this paper, we first use numerical models to show that the secular cooling of the mantle does not affect the general conclusions on the relationship between plume dynamics and internal heating rate, thus extending the applicability of our previous results from steady-state convection models. We then present an analysis which demonstrates that the internal heating rate of the mantle can be constrained by plume observations based on energetic balance theorem. Notice that with this method, numerical calculations are no longer necessary in order to constrain the internal heating rate of the mantle. At last, we draw our main conclusions.
2. Plume Dynamics in a Mantle With Secular Cooling
 We have formulated new models with secular cooling effects. Our models are similar to those by Zhong  and Leng and Zhong [2008a]. Basically, we use 3-D regional spherical models CitcomCU to simulate whole-mantle convection with extended Boussinesq approximation. The viscosity in the models is both temperature-dependent (i.e., a factor of 1000 viscosity variation for temperature varying from the surface to the CMB) and depth-dependent (i.e., a factor of 30 viscosity reduction in the upper mantle between 100 km and 670 km depths). We also include 410-km and 670-km phase changes and depth-dependent thermodynamics properties in our models. From the surface to the CMB, the coefficient of thermal expansion decreases by a factor of 5.0 and the thermal diffusivity increases by a factor of 2.18. More details about the models are given by Zhong  and Leng and Zhong [2008a].
 We compute a case SC01 with the secular cooling effects. The Rayleigh number for case SC01 is 4 × 107 and the internal heating parameter H, which represents radiogenic heating, is 18. To simulate the secular cooling effect, we need an initial temperature that is relatively high. We take the steady state temperature from case WM04 by Leng and Zhong [2008a] and increase it uniformly by 20% but with the maximum temperature kept as 1.0. The modified temperature field is then taken as the initial condition for case SC01 that is integrated for 550,000 time steps. It should be noted that similar to the Earth, our model is in a mobile-lid convection regime and subducted slabs are continuously generated at the top boundary [Zhong, 2006]. After a transition period, the bulk average temperature in case SC01 decreases with time at a stable rate (Figure 1). Notice that the values in Figure 1 are all dimensionless, and for dimensionless time 0.001 is approximately equivalent to 1.3 Ga. Figure 1 also shows the rate of change in the bulk average temperature, , versus time t. Notice that represents the effect of the secular cooling which is quite strong at the beginning, ∼40, but is gradually reduced to ∼10, comparable to the internal heating parameter H. Surface and CMB heat fluxes of case SC01 also vary with time (Figure 1), suggesting a time dependence of internal heating rate for this case.
 We choose five different time periods from case SC01 to quantify plume-related observables and internal heating rates. Each time period includes 30000 time steps, which generally represent 5–10 transit time of the convection system, and the time periods chosen are indicated in Figure 1. Following plume detection and plume analysis techniques by Leng and Zhong [2008a], the plume-related values in the upper mantle are quantified and analyzed. Here we are interested in four characteristic values in the upper mantle: plume temperature, Tp_um, average mantle temperature, Tum, normalized plume heat flux, Qp_um/Qs, and normalized plume excess temperature, ΔTplume_um/Tum, where Qp_um, ΔTplume_um and Qs are plume heat flux in the upper mantle, plume excess temperature in the upper mantle, and surface heat flux, respectively. It can be observed that the plume temperature in the upper mantle is nearly constant; the average upper mantle temperature increases with internal heating rate; and the normalized plume heat flux and plume excess temperature in the upper mantle decrease with internal heating rate (Figure 2).
 For comparison, we also plot the results of three steady-state cases: WM04–WM06 by Leng and Zhong [2008a] in Figure 2. All the model parameters in these three cases are the same as in case SC01, except that the internal heating parameter H varies from 18 to 72. The internal heating rate dependence of plume-related observables and upper mantle average temperature for case SC01 at different time periods follows exactly the same trends as those in statistically steady state cases (Figure 2). In order to reproduce the plume observations, i.e. the shaded zones in Figure 2, the internal heating rate needs to be ∼70%. It thus shows that the relations between plume observations and internal heating rate obtained from statistically steady state models [Zhong, 2006; Leng and Zhong, 2008a] can be applied to the Earth's mantle.
 We should point out that in our models the CMB temperature is fixed and that the secular cooling of the Earth's core is not considered. Also, it is possible that the Earth's mantle temperature evolution is not as monotonic as in our simplified models. While it is important for future studies to consider the coupled mantle-core evolution [e.g., Honda and Iwase, 1996], we think that our simplified models may still provide important insights into the effects of mantle secular cooling on the plume observations.
3. Constraining Internal Heating Rate of the Mantle From Energy Balance
 This analysis provides an independent confirmation of our previous conclusions based on numerical models that the internal heating rate of the mantle needs to be ∼70% to reproduce the plume-related observation [Zhong, 2006; Leng and Zhong, 2008a].
 We have formulated models of plume dynamics with secular cooling effects. We demonstrate that the plume observations in the upper mantle are dependent on the internal heating rate of the mantle, and are insensitive to how the internal heating is partitioned between the radiogenic heating and the secular cooling. These results corroborate the conclusions from our previous studies which do not include the effects of secular cooling. Furthermore, based on the energy balance of mantle convection and using the plume-related observations, we present an analysis that provides a lower bound on the internal heating rate of the mantle. This analysis, which is independent from our previous numerical models, indicates that the internal heating rate of the mantle is larger than 60%, which is consistent with the conclusions from our previous numerical studies.
 This study is supported by National Science Foundation and David and Lucile Packard Foundation.