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New study details earthquake, flood risk for Eastern European, Central Asian countries

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Researchers aiming to answer this question used projected changes in population and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 33 countries, along with climate, flood and earthquake risk models, to estimate how each country is affected by flooding and earthquakes now and in the future. In addition, the earthquake model was used to estimate fatalities and capital losses from a strong quake.

To assess how much a country would be affected by earthquakes and floods, the researchers determined how much of the country’s GDP or population met certain thresholds for risk. For the flood model, an area was considered affected if it experienced 10 centimeters (4 inches) of flooding. For the earthquake model, affected areas had to experience a “strong” earthquake, meaning people in the area would feel the earthquake, and it would be strong enough to move heavy furniture…more

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